Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.224685 0.259945 0.298893 0.345104 0.398443 0.458086 0.529862
2025-09-28 0.168446 0.215599 0.273078 0.348300 0.444190 0.562417 0.719420
2025-10-05 0.143894 0.197555 0.267594 0.365707 0.499692 0.676462 0.927803
2025-10-12 0.125500 0.182455 0.261056 0.377450 0.545587 0.780003 1.132410
2025-10-19 0.111057 0.169671 0.254565 0.386475 0.586530 0.879099 1.340678
2025-10-26 0.098334 0.157058 0.245869 0.389940 0.618165 0.966509 1.540340
2025-11-02 0.086272 0.143503 0.233542 0.385473 0.635917 1.033393 1.714511
2025-11-09 0.074709 0.129036 0.217693 0.372854 0.638230 1.074917 1.851090
2025-11-16 0.068869 0.123208 0.214969 0.381134 0.675288 1.175959 2.096772
2025-11-23 0.062847 0.116229 0.209331 0.383436 0.701824 1.261281 2.323895
2025-11-30 0.058205 0.111086 0.206176 0.389509 0.735256 1.361400 2.587546
2025-12-07 0.052292 0.102847 0.196448 0.382246 0.743101 1.415708 2.771806
2025-12-14 0.047500 0.096268 0.189229 0.379207 0.759168 1.488044 3.000974
2025-12-21 0.044002 0.091823 0.185601 0.382751 0.788480 1.588860 3.297915
2025-12-28 0.042549 0.091315 0.189586 0.401875 0.850895 1.760764 3.757113
2026-01-04 0.040559 0.089434 0.190545 0.414777 0.901772 1.914476 4.195488
2026-01-11 0.038455 0.087045 0.190153 0.424693 0.947276 2.061540 4.635766
2026-01-18 0.036011 0.083611 0.187137 0.428500 0.979797 2.184170 5.035849
2026-01-25 0.033108 0.078794 0.180567 0.423592 0.992237 2.264171 5.348690
2026-02-01 0.029840 0.072746 0.170584 0.409728 0.982595 2.293757 5.548321
2026-02-08 0.028482 0.071077 0.170427 0.418825 1.027573 2.452251 6.069346
2026-02-15 0.026800 0.068422 0.167670 0.421353 1.057034 2.577436 6.523567
2026-02-22 0.025507 0.066584 0.166661 0.428026 1.097288 2.732247 7.067736